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Olive and Olive Oil Analysis

Olive oil price trends, the production and consumption balance, harvest economics: analyses that read the sector's figures against their sources.

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The pieces in this section start from figures. The source of every table and chart is given in the text; where data is missing we say so rather than estimating it.

Olive Oil Prices: Week 35 of 2026 Article Olive Oil Prices: Week 35 of 2026 Turkish exchange prices, European producer prices and exchange rates side by side: extra virgin at 300 TL/kg in Edremit, Spain's national average €3.52/kg. Olive Oil Prices: Week 37 of 2026 Article Olive Oil Prices: Week 37 of 2026 Week 37 of 2026: Turkish exchange prices, European producer prices and exchange rates side by side. How to read olive oil exchange prices Article How to read olive oil exchange prices Three exchanges, three averages for the same product: 201, 254 and 308 lira. In Nazilli, trades from 132.79 to 225.00 in a single day. What an exchange price measures, and why date and volume matter more than the average. Türkiye leaves an off year as Tunisia enters one: opposite phase in the Mediterranean Article Türkiye leaves an off year as Tunisia enters one: opposite phase in the Mediterranean Türkiye's crop fell 35% in 2025-26, yet table olives rose and the drop was far from even: Aydın −8%, Bursa −50%. Tunisia is in the opposite phase, down 40% for 2026-27. The two countries sit in opposite halves of the cycle, and that shapes the bulk olive oil market. Solar panels above the grove: energy without cutting trees? Article Solar panels above the grove: energy without cutting trees? In Spain, 5,150 solar modules were raised four metres above a working olive grove without removing a single tree. The height is set not by the trees but by a harvester that opens to 3.5 metres. A University of Córdoba model puts joint output at 789 kg of oil and 891 MWh per hectare. How war destroys an olive grove: denial of access does more than the bomb Article How war destroys an olive grove: denial of access does more than the bomb An olive grove is not an annual field: first fruit takes 4-8 years, full yield 20-25. War's damage is therefore generational, not seasonal. We read the picture in Lebanon and Palestine through the tree's own biology. A demand for 50 lira per litre: what the numbers say Article A demand for 50 lira per litre: what the numbers say The Edremit Chamber of Commerce has called for at least 50 lira per litre in support for olive oil producers. We check the price claim behind that demand against registered exchange trades. Olive Oil Prices: Week 36 of 2026 Article Olive Oil Prices: Week 36 of 2026 Week 36 of 2026: Turkish exchange prices, European producer prices and exchange rates side by side. Who protects the olive tree? Three layers, from the IOC to Law 3573 Article Who protects the olive tree? Three layers, from the IOC to Law 3573 We have cited the International Olive Council in 23 articles without ever saying what it is. The three orders that protect the olive: trade standards, landscape conventions, and Türkiye's 1939 Law No. 3573. The olive grove beside the factory: Bursa soils measured Article The olive grove beside the factory: Bursa soils measured 43 PCB congeners measured in 7 Bursa olive groves: 5.82-18.71 ng/g against a 200 ng/g limit. No serious pollution — but the point near the steel works reads three times the rural one. The profitability problem in olive oil exports Article The profitability problem in olive oil exports Turkey sold to the US at $3,492 a tonne while the world average was $4,235 - the furthest supplier and the cheapest. The EU tariff wall, the Tunisia comparison, and the method none of 17 exporters knew. How do olive growers rank their own problems? Article How do olive growers rank their own problems? A face-to-face survey with 64 growers in İzmir: input costs, an average holding of 45 decares, unirrigated land, and cooperative membership that rises with scale. Kilis: the structure is solved, the soil is not Article Kilis: the structure is solved, the soil is not Kilis is the one place in south-eastern Anatolia to have finished the institutional job: a union, an integrated plant, a geographical indication. Yet 100% of 49 soil samples are iron-deficient. Olive oil enterprises in Mut: a field study Article Olive oil enterprises in Mut: a field study More than 4% of Turkey's olive production comes from Mut. In a 2025 study of 14 enterprises, raw material quality ranks last among their problems. All eight websites of firms wanting to export are monolingual. The table olive sector: 461 registered, 8,000 unregistered Article The table olive sector: 461 registered, 8,000 unregistered Turkey has become the world's leading table olive producer, with a record $255.3m in 2024-25 across 117 countries. Yet only one enterprise in twenty is registered. What temperatures can the olive withstand? Article What temperatures can the olive withstand? Ideal 15–20 °C, an upper limit of 40 °C (with irrigation), a lower limit of −7 °C. Temperature thresholds, chilling requirement, and the climate risk of production narrowed to four varieties. Vegetation water and pomace: olive oil's waste problem Article Vegetation water and pomace: olive oil's waste problem Processing 1.5–2 million tonnes of olives yields 1 million tonnes of vegetation water and 1 million tonnes of pomace. Waste, or resource? Alternate bearing: one year yes, one year no Article Alternate bearing: one year yes, one year no Olive oil output can swing from 40,000 to 200,000 tonnes. Why alternate bearing happens, how it breaks prices and exports, and how its amplitude can be reduced. Structural problems of Turkish olive growing Article Structural problems of Turkish olive growing 157 million trees but 5% of world output: low yield, old trees, harvest mechanisation, missing data, the support gap and informality. Olive groves and mining: the legislative record from Law 3573 to Law 7554 Article Olive groves and mining: the legislative record from Law 3573 to Law 7554 A dated record of the rules opening olive groves to mining: Article 20 of Law 3573, the March 2022 regulation and its annulment by the Council of State, and Law 7554 in force since 24 July 2025. Impact estimates are set against the national total and one circulating figure is fact-checked. Marmarabirlik purchase prices: what the grower actually receives in Marmara Article Marmarabirlik purchase prices: what the grower actually receives in Marmara The 2025/2026 season: 160 ₺ for calibre 18, 55 ₺ for calibre 41, 53 ₺ for oil fruit. Size alone changes the price 2.9×, and the union buys down to calibre 41 where the market stops at 28. The energy burned at the field edge: olive pruning residue Article The energy burned at the field edge: olive pruning residue One olive tree yields 33.6 kg of prunings a year. Across 177.8 million trees that is 6 million tonnes of residue and 54.11 PJ of energy — equivalent to 1.57 billion m³ of natural gas. Climate change and the olive: the tree survives, but will it crop? Article Climate change and the olive: the tree survives, but will it crop? The olive is drought-hardy but works in narrow bands. 85% of Türkiye's groves are unirrigated, 75% on mountainous land. Olive oil trade in the Ottoman Empire: Britain the buyer, the crop the price Article Olive oil trade in the Ottoman Empire: Britain the buyer, the crop the price 25,627 tonnes exported in 1889 at 23.54 lira a tonne; 9,022 tonnes in 1882 at 42.89. The crop-price inverse held a century ago too. The nameless olives of southeast Anatolia: Mardin, Şırnak and the pollinator problem Article The nameless olives of southeast Anatolia: Mardin, Şırnak and the pollinator problem Kumçatı and Derik genotypes beat Ayvalık and Gemlik on flesh ratio. Yuvarlak halhalı sets only 0.43% of its flowers with its own pollen. What does a kilo of olives cost? The cost sheet of 152 Aegean farms Article What does a kilo of olives cost? The cost sheet of 152 Aegean farms Land rent is 37.70% of cost, harvest 16.90%. In table olives 73% of processing cost is rejected fruit; in oil, 94% is the fruit itself. Twenty trees per decare, or 250? The density debate Article Twenty trees per decare, or 250? The density debate 15-25 trees per decare in Türkiye, 200-300 in super-intensive systems. Payback falls from 15 years to 8 — but the densest is not the most profitable. The gap between extra virgin and riviera is only 4% at wholesale Article The gap between extra virgin and riviera is only 4% at wholesale At wholesale, extra virgin is only 4-23% dearer than cooking oil; the seven-year average is 13%. The shelf gap comes from packaging. Was it six times? Seven years of the table olive gap Article Was it six times? Seven years of the table olive gap How many times the oil price does a table olive fetch? Over seven years the ratio ranged 1.43 to 3.46, never below 1. The economics of caliber: how fruit size triples the price Article The economics of caliber: how fruit size triples the price 160 TL at caliber 18, 55 TL at caliber 41. Fruit size is price — and the cooperative pays 16% above the exchange average. The real price of olive oil: the inflation-adjusted calculation Article The real price of olive oil: the inflation-adjusted calculation The lira price rose 11.5-fold, inflation 7.6-fold. The real increase is 1.56-fold — and it matches the euro-based calculation. Oleotourism: a grove's second income Article Oleotourism: a grove's second income What is olive oil tourism, how does it work elsewhere, and why has it not developed in Türkiye? Oleotourism, from the literature. The same olive, six times the price: the quiet advantage of table olives Article The same olive, six times the price: the quiet advantage of table olives How much more does the same fruit fetch as a table olive than for oil? Measured over seven years of exchange data: 1.43 to 3.46 times. Tree to shelf: the olive oil value chain in six stops Article Tree to shelf: the olive oil value chain in six stops From fruit on the tree to bottle on the shelf: how much the price multiplies at each step, and where the added value stays. Fourth in the world with 25 registrations — but what are they doing? Article Fourth in the world with 25 registrations — but what are they doing? Türkiye is fourth in the world with 25 olive oil GIs. Yet exports fetch $3.17/kg — the product is still priced as a commodity. Rain in Andalusia, prices in Aydın: how Spain's drought set the price in Türkiye Article Rain in Andalusia, prices in Aydın: how Spain's drought set the price in Türkiye Spain makes 40% of the world's olive oil. Its output halved in 2022/23 and Türkiye's euro price went from €2.70 to €6.95. Felling an olive grove: the arithmetic of a ten-year decision Article Felling an olive grove: the arithmetic of a ten-year decision The ten-year cost of clearing a grove for another crop: establishment, years to bearing and forgone income, per decare. Did olive oil go up 13.5 times, or 1.6 times? Article Did olive oil go up 13.5 times, or 1.6 times? Up 13.5 times in lira, 1.6 times in euros. The same 1,257 registrations, each converted at its own day's ECB rate. Two thirds of our exports are table olives: the $260 million picture Article Two thirds of our exports are table olives: the $260 million picture In 2025-26, 66% of exports were table olives and 27% oil. Average unit value $3.17/kg — the added value sits inside the packaging. Early harvest: expensive or valuable? The arithmetic of yield Article Early harvest: expensive or valuable? The arithmetic of yield Below 18% yield the raw material costs more than the bulk price. Early-harvest oil needs a 43% premium to break even. Exchange volume is not the harvest: what the 2023 record actually recorded Article Exchange volume is not the harvest: what the 2023 record actually recorded 10,597 tonnes registered in 2023, down to 3,227 the next season. Harvest collapse or a change of channel? The data cannot tell them apart. Is Turkish olive oil cheap? Fourteen months against Europe Article Is Turkish olive oil cheap? Fourteen months against Europe Turkish and European olive oil prices compared in one currency. How wide is the gap, and is it currency or market? From olive to oil: the price gap, 2019-2026 Article From olive to oil: the price gap, 2019-2026 The gap between a kilo of olives and a kilo of oil, measured from exchange registrations. Why it widens, and who gains.

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